| Satellite Launches in the PRC: Hughes
Hughes Space and Communications International, Inc. (Hughes) attempted to launch two
communications satellites from the PRC that exploded before reaching orbit, one in 1992
and one in 1995. Allegations regarding technology transfer arose in connection with
failure analysis investigations conducted by Hughes employees in the aftermath of these
failed launches. Specifically, in 1992 and 1995, China Great Wall Industries Corporation,
a PRC government entity, launched two Hughes satellites manufactured for Australian (Optus
B2) and Asian (Apstar 2) customers from a PRC launch facility in Xichang, PRC.
Both satellites were launched on a Long March 2E rocket. In both cases, an explosion
occurred after take-off and before separation of the satellite. Hughes investigated the
causes of both of these failed launches and determined that the rocket was the cause of
the failures.
In the course of the investigations, Hughes communicated technical information
regarding the rocket to the PRC that assisted the PRC in improving the Long March 2E
rocket. The activities of Hughes employees in connection with the investigation of the
failed launch in 1992 resulted in the transmission to the PRC of technical information
that appears to have been approved by a U.S. Government representative but not properly
licensed. In the case of the 1995 Hughes failure investigation, Hughes employees exported
technical information that also was approved by a U.S. Government representative but
should not have been authorized for export to the PRC.
In both cases, Hughes disclosed information to the PRC that related to improving the
Long March 2E fairing, a portion of the rocket that protects the payload during launch.
Such information was outside the scope of the original licenses Hughes obtained from the
State and Commerce Departments, respectively, with respect to the export and launch of the
Optus B2 and Apstar 2 satellites. Hughes claims that the 1993 Optus B2 failure analysis
disclosures were cleared in advance by U.S. Government officials, but neither Hughes nor
the pertinent U.S. Government agencies retained records that would substantiate this claim
fully.
The lessons learned by the PRC from Hughes during the 1995 Apstar 2 failure
investigation are directly applicable to fairings on other rockets, including those used
to launch PRC military satellites.
Although the Long March 2E has not been used since 1995, it is possible that the PRC
may have transferred the lessons learned from this launch failure investigation to its
ballistic missile programs. These lessons could lead to the development of a more reliable
fairing for use with advanced payloads on military ballistic missiles.
Hughes obtained a clearance for the 1995 disclosures that was improperly issued by a
Commerce Department official. Hughes was confident that the cause of the 1992 launch
failure on the PRCs Long March 2E rocket was the fairing. Hughes then ascertained
with more certainty that the fairing was responsible for the 1995 launch failure. Hughes
required that the PRC take appropriate corrective measures so that future launches of
Hughes satellites on the Long March 2E rocket could occur and be insured.
Hughes employees conveyed to the PRC the engineering and design information necessary
to identify and remedy the structural deficiencies of the fairing. At the time of the 1992
failure, the export of both the satellite and any information that might improve the
rocket were subject to State Department licensing jurisdiction.
Hughes knew that the fairing was part of the rocket and that a State Department license
was required to discuss improvements with the PRC. Although Hughes did not have a license
to disclose information to the PRC relating to improvement of the fairing, Hughes,
nonetheless, made such disclosures. Hughes claims that each disclosure was authorized by
the Defense Technology Security Administration monitor. Contemporaneous Hughes records
partially support this assertion. The monitor says he doubts that he in fact approved the
disclosure, but says he cannot fully recall these matters.
Neither Hughes nor any relevant U.S. Government agency has been able to produce records
substantiating all of the claimed approvals. Even if such approvals were in fact given,
they would have exceeded the authority of the Defense Technology Security Administration
monitor since he was not empowered to expand the scope of the license granted by the State
Department. The monitor also should have known that a separate license was needed for the
launch failure analysis activities. By the time of the 1995 failure investigation, partial
jurisdiction for commercial satellites had been transferred to the Commerce Department,
but licensing for improvements to any part of the rocket, such as the fairing, remained
with the State Department.
Hughes officials who were responsible for the launch failure investigation in 1995 knew
that technical information that would improve the rocket, including the fairing, was still
subject to State Department jurisdiction and was not licensed for export. Nonetheless,
Hughes sought Commerce Department approval to disclose information regarding the fairing
to the PRC. A Commerce Department official, without consulting with Defense Department or
State Department experts, approved that disclosure, he says, on the assumption that the
fairing was part of the satellite, not the rocket. He now acknowledges that this decision
was a mistake.
The Defense Department recently determined that the information Hughes made available
to the PRC was sufficiently specific to inform the PRC of the kinds of rocket changes and
operational changes that would make the Long March 2E, and perhaps other rockets, more
reliable. In particular, Hughes assisted the PRC in correcting the deficiencies in its
models of the stresses or loads (such as buffeting and wind shear) that the rocket and
payload experience during flight.
There are differing views within the U.S. Government as to the extent to which the
information that Hughes imparted to the PRC may assist the PRC in its ballistic missile
development. There is agreement that any such improvement would pertain to reliability and
not to range or accuracy. It is not clear, at present, whether the PRC will use a fairing
that was improved as a result of Hughes disclosures in a current or future ballistic
missile program. Currently-deployed PRC ballistic missiles do not use fairings, and the
PRCs future mobile land-based intercontinental ballistic missiles will probably not
use a fairing. However, fairings are used by the PRC in launching military communications
satellites and could be used for a submarine-launched ballistic missile.
In the opinion of the Select Committees independent expert, Dr. Alexander Flax,
fairing improvements could also be of benefit to multiple independently-targeted reentry
vehicle (MIRV) development, should the PRC decide to move in that direction. (See the
Technical Afterword at the end of this chapter for additional details on the possible uses
of fairings in intercontinental ballistic missiles.)
Hughes also provided the PRC with practical insight into diagnostic and failure
analysis techniques for identifying and isolating the cause of a launch failure. Whether
or not the structural improvements to the fairing suggested by Hughes are of immediate use
to the PRCs missile programs, that information expanded the PRCs repertoire of
available technical solutions to future problems that it may encounter in its space and
missile programs.
Finally, the Select Committees independent expert has concluded that Hughes
provided the PRC with the benefit of its engineering experience and know-how. As a result,
PRC engineers better understand how to conduct a failure analysis and how to design and
build more reliable fairings for rockets: This will stand them in good stead in
developing fairings (or shrouds) for ballistic missiles. |